Fiscal roadmap: Finance Commission submits report for 2026-31; formula for Centre-state tax share sent to President Murmu

Finance Commission submits report to President Murmu (Photo credit- PTI )

The 16th Finance Commission on Monday submitted its report for the five-year period 2026-31 to President Droupadi Murmu, marking a key step in finalising the formula that will determine how central taxes are shared with states, PTI reported.The panel, chaired by Arvind Panagariya, had been granted a one-month extension from its original October 31 deadline.

“Members of the 16th Finance Commission, led by its Chairman, Dr Arvind Panagariya, called on President Droupadi Murmu and submitted the Commission’s report for 2026-31,” Rashtrapati Bhavan said in a post on X.Mandated to recommend the devolution formula and grants-in-aid beginning 2026-27, the commission travelled across all states and Union Territories before finalising its views on tax sharing, revenue augmentation and fiscal needs.

The panel includes full-time members Annie George Mathew and Manoj Panda, while SBI Group Chief Economic Advisor Soumya Kanti Ghosh and RBI Deputy Governor T.

Rabi Sankar serve as part-time members.Along with tax devolution, the commission has examined the framework for financing disaster management, reviewing the funds created under the Disaster Management Act, 2005.Set up on December 31, 2023, the constitutional body succeeds the 15th Finance Commission headed by N.K.

Singh, which had recommended that states receive 41% of the divisible pool between 2021-22 and 2025-26 — the same share proposed earlier by the 14th Finance Commission.According to Budget 2025-26 estimates, the Centre is expected to transfer Rs 14.22 lakh crore to states as their tax share out of a budgeted Rs 42.70 lakh crore in total tax receipts.Successive commissions have relied on weighted criteria such as population, area, income distance, demographic performance, fiscal effort and forest cover to determine state shares — an issue that has often triggered friction between the Centre and Opposition-ruled states.

Southern states, in particular, have objected to population-linked weightage, arguing that it disadvantages them for achieving lower population growth.For 2021-26, the 15th Finance Commission had assigned 15% weightage to population, 15% to area, 12.5% to demographic performance, 10% to forest cover and ecology, and 2.5% to tax and fiscal effort.